# Arthur Hayes Predicts Crypto Market 'Up Only' after TGA Target ▴ News

**Published:** 2025-09-21
**Categories:** News

---

The market’s intricate liquidity architecture is poised for a significant shift as the United States Treasury General Account (TGA) approaches its $850 billion target. This event signifies the culmination of a period where TGA replenishment has sequestered substantial capital, effectively draining liquidity from private financial markets. The reversal of this dynamic, characterized by the re-entry of these funds into the broader economic system, functions as a critical inflection point for risk assets. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point interest rate reduction in 2025, with expectations of further cuts, introduces an additional layer of monetary policy support.

These coordinated shifts in fiscal and monetary liquidity channels are designed to stimulate asset prices, potentially initiating an “up only” trajectory for the crypto ecosystem. This systemic recalibration directly impacts institutional adoption strategies, offering a more favorable environment for capital deployment into digital assets.

The imminent completion of the TGA refill, coupled with accommodative Federal Reserve policy, establishes a robust framework for enhanced market liquidity and a potential crypto asset rally.

- **TGA Target** ▴ $850 billion

- **Primary Analyst** ▴ Arthur Hayes (BitMEX Co-founder)

- **Interest Rate Cut** ▴ 25 basis points (2025 Federal Reserve)

Signal Acquired from ▴ <a href="https://www.todayonchain.com/news/article/01K5MJBZQRY7N7VZ6AE453TWKA/?utm_source=options.greeks.live&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=satellite" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">TodayOnChain</a> 

**Tags:** [Crypto Market Surge](https://options.greeks.live/area/crypto-market-surge/), [TGA Refill](https://options.greeks.live/area/tga-refill/), [Risk Assets](https://options.greeks.live/area/risk-assets/), [Quantitative Easing](https://options.greeks.live/area/quantitative-easing/), [Bitcoin Price](https://options.greeks.live/area/bitcoin-price/), [Market Liquidity](https://options.greeks.live/area/market-liquidity/)	

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A fully funded Treasury General Account creates the systemic condition for substantial liquidity redeployment into digital asset markets.

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This launch provides institutional clients with regulated access to digital assets, enhancing portfolio diversification and operational control.

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---

**Original URL:** https://options.greeks.live/news/arthur-hayes-predicts-crypto-market-up-only-after-tga-target/
