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Concept

The discipline of post-trade analysis operates on a fundamental principle ▴ execution venue is not a monolith. An execution receipt from a Systematic Internaliser (SI) and one from a dark pool represent two distinct data streams, originating from market structures with fundamentally different objectives and architectures. To analyze them with the same lens is to invite flawed conclusions. The SI execution is the result of a bilateral engagement with a known counterparty who has committed its own capital.

The dark pool execution is the outcome of an anonymous, multilateral matching process within a closed system. The data generated by each tells a different story about the nature of the liquidity accessed, the information conveyed during the transaction, and the residual market footprint left behind. Understanding these foundational differences is the prerequisite for any meaningful Transaction Cost Analysis (TCA). It shifts the focus from a simple review of execution price to a sophisticated diagnosis of execution quality, tailored to the specific environment in which the trade occurred.

The core challenge lies in decoding the unique signals embedded within the post-trade data of each venue type. For an SI, the data reflects the quality and stability of a specific counterparty relationship. For a dark pool, the data reveals the character and potential toxicity of an anonymous liquidity ecosystem.

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The Duality of Execution Environments

At the heart of modern equity market structure lies a primary distinction between bilateral and multilateral trading arrangements. This structural variance is the genesis of the differing post-trade analytical requirements for Systematic Internalisers and dark pools. An SI is an investment firm that deals on its own account by executing client orders outside a regulated market or multilateral trading facility (MTF). This is an inherently bilateral process.

The firm acts as a principal, offering liquidity from its own book. The interaction is direct, even if intermediated by technology. The client knows the identity of the liquidity provider, and the SI has committed its capital to facilitate the trade. This model creates a direct counterparty relationship, with all the attendant considerations of trust, reliability, and performance measurement.

Conversely, a dark pool is a type of MTF that operates without pre-trade transparency. It is a private venue where orders are hidden from the public market, accessible only to the pool’s members, who are typically large institutional investors. The matching process is multilateral, bringing together orders from numerous participants anonymously.

The primary value proposition is the potential to execute large orders with minimal price impact and information leakage, as the order’s existence is not broadcast to the wider market before execution. This anonymity is a double-edged sword; while it protects the initiator from immediate market reaction, it also obscures the identity and intent of the counterparty, introducing a different set of risks that must be quantified post-trade.

The fundamental architectural variance between a bilateral principal and a multilateral anonymous venue dictates every subsequent step of post-trade analysis.
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Implications for Post-Trade Data Signatures

The structural differences between these venues directly translate into the data available for post-trade analysis and how that data must be interpreted. An execution report from an SI is a record of a transaction with a single, identifiable counterparty. The critical data points extend beyond price and volume to include the identity of the SI itself. The analysis, therefore, becomes an evaluation of that specific counterparty’s performance.

Did they provide a competitive quote? Was the price stable? How consistently do they offer liquidity in size? The data signature is one of a direct relationship.

A dark pool execution report, on the other hand, is a record of an anonymous match. The counterparty is unknown. The analytical focus consequently shifts from evaluating a known partner to diagnosing the health of an unknown environment. The data must be interrogated to answer questions about the pool’s characteristics.

What is the typical profile of participants in this pool? Is it a haven for informed traders who might be exploiting information leakage, a phenomenon where the intention to trade becomes known, leading to adverse price movements? The data signature is one of environmental risk and liquidity quality. The absence of counterparty identity forces the analyst to rely on indirect measures and statistical inference to build a picture of the trading environment, a stark contrast to the direct performance measurement possible with an SI.


Strategy

The strategic objective of post-trade analysis is to transform raw execution data into an intelligence asset that refines future trading decisions. The framework for this transformation, however, must be calibrated to the specific venue. For Systematic Internalisers and dark pools, the strategic goals of the analysis diverge significantly, reflecting their core structural differences. The analysis of SI executions is fundamentally a process of counterparty performance management.

The analysis of dark pool executions is an exercise in liquidity pool characterization and risk mitigation. Applying the same set of Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to both without adjusting for context and intent can lead to a dangerously incomplete understanding of execution quality.

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Strategic Objectives for Systematic Internaliser Analysis

When analyzing executions from an SI, the institution is evaluating a chosen liquidity partner. The strategy is to quantify the value of that bilateral relationship. This involves a multi-faceted assessment that goes beyond simple price comparison.

  • Quote Quality and Competitiveness ▴ The primary analysis centers on the quality of the quotes provided by the SI. This is measured by comparing the execution price against the European Best Bid and Offer (EBBO) or other relevant public benchmarks at the moment of the trade. The goal is to determine if the SI is consistently providing prices that are at, or better than, the public market.
  • Counterparty Reliability ▴ A key strategic goal is to assess the reliability of the SI as a liquidity source. Post-trade analysis tracks metrics like “hit rates” ▴ the frequency with which an inquiry results in a tradable quote and subsequent execution. A high hit rate suggests a reliable partner, while a low rate may indicate that the SI is selective in its interactions, which could be a risk during volatile periods.
  • Value of Principal Liquidity ▴ SIs provide principal liquidity, which can be particularly valuable for large or less liquid trades that might otherwise move the market. The post-trade strategy is to quantify this value. This can involve comparing the all-in cost of executing with the SI against pre-trade estimates of market impact for executing the same order on a lit exchange. The analysis seeks to validate that the SI is providing a genuine service in absorbing risk.
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Strategic Objectives for Dark Pool Analysis

In the anonymous, multilateral environment of a dark pool, the strategic focus of post-trade analysis shifts from counterparty management to environmental surveillance. The goal is to understand the characteristics of the pool and the nature of the counterparties within it, without knowing their specific identities.

  • Quantifying Information Leakage ▴ A primary concern in dark pools is the risk of information leakage, where the presence of a large order becomes known to other participants, who then trade ahead of it, causing adverse price movements. A core strategic objective of post-trade analysis is to detect and measure this leakage. This is done by analyzing post-trade price reversion ▴ the tendency of a stock’s price to move back in the opposite direction after a trade. Significant reversion against the trader’s position is a strong indicator of informed counterparties and information leakage.
  • Assessing Liquidity “Toxicity” ▴ The analysis aims to build a profile of each dark pool, assessing its “toxicity” or the prevalence of potentially predatory trading strategies. By consistently measuring metrics like reversion and the fill rates of passive orders across different pools, a firm can rank venues based on the quality of their liquidity. This allows for more intelligent routing decisions in the future, directing orders to pools with a higher concentration of “natural” or uninformed liquidity.
  • Optimizing Price and Size Improvement ▴ Dark pools offer the potential for price improvement, typically by executing at the midpoint of the bid-ask spread. A key analytical strategy is to quantify this benefit consistently across different venues. The analysis measures the average price improvement per share and the percentage of orders receiving it. Furthermore, it assesses size improvement ▴ the ability to get a larger fill than initially expected ▴ which is another key benefit of these venues.
Analyzing an SI is like evaluating a specific supplier’s performance, while analyzing a dark pool is like assessing the overall safety and quality of a marketplace.

The following table outlines the divergent strategic goals of post-trade analysis for these two venue types.

Analytical Dimension Systematic Internaliser (SI) Focus Dark Pool Focus
Primary Goal Counterparty Performance Evaluation Liquidity Pool Characterization & Risk Assessment
Core Question Is this specific partner providing reliable, high-quality, principal liquidity? What is the nature of the anonymous flow in this venue? Is it safe or toxic?
Key Metric Focus Quote Competitiveness vs. EBBO, Hit/Fill Rates, Stability of Pricing Post-Trade Price Reversion, Midpoint Price Improvement, Information Leakage Proxies
Risk Being Measured Counterparty Risk (e.g. inconsistency, poor pricing) Adverse Selection Risk (trading with more informed flow)
Desired Outcome of Analysis Informed broker/counterparty ranking and selection for future orders. Informed venue ranking and routing logic for smart order routers.


Execution

The execution of a robust post-trade analysis program requires a disciplined, quantitative approach that is meticulously tailored to the venue in question. The process moves from data aggregation to metric calculation and, finally, to comparative interpretation. The methodologies for analyzing SI and dark pool executions share some common metrics, but the formulas, benchmarks, and ultimate interpretations diverge significantly.

A failure to appreciate this divergence renders the analysis inert. What follows is an operational guide to the distinct analytical processes for these two fundamental pillars of off-exchange liquidity.

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Foundational Data Requirements

Before any analysis can begin, a firm must ensure it is capturing the necessary data points for each execution. While there is overlap, certain fields are unique or carry different weight depending on the venue type.

  1. Universal Data Points
    • Ticker ▴ The identifier of the security traded.
    • Order ID / Parent Order ID ▴ To link child executions back to the original investment decision.
    • Execution Timestamp ▴ Precise time of execution, ideally to the microsecond.
    • Executed Quantity ▴ Number of shares in the execution.
    • Execution Price ▴ The price at which the trade occurred.
    • Side ▴ Buy or Sell.
    • Arrival Price ▴ The market midpoint price at the time the parent order was created. This is a crucial benchmark for Implementation Shortfall analysis.
  2. Venue-Specific Data Points
    • For SI Executions
      • Counterparty ID ▴ The unique identifier for the Systematic Internaliser. This is the most critical additional data point.
      • Quote Timestamp ▴ The time the SI provided the quote, to measure response latency.
      • Quoted Price ▴ The price offered by the SI, to compare against the final execution price.
    • For Dark Pool Executions
      • Venue ID ▴ The identifier for the specific dark pool.
      • NBBO at Execution ▴ The National Best Bid and Offer at the time of the trade, required for calculating price improvement.
      • Post-Trade Benchmark Prices ▴ Market midpoint prices at various intervals after the trade (e.g. T+1 second, T+5 seconds, T+1 minute, T+5 minutes) to calculate reversion.
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Quantitative Analysis for Dark Pools the Search for Alpha and the Avoidance of Toxicity

Dark pool analysis is a forensic exercise. The analyst is searching for evidence of quality execution while simultaneously hunting for the fingerprints of informed or predatory traders. The two primary metrics are Price Improvement and Reversion.

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Price Improvement (PI)

Price Improvement quantifies the benefit of executing at a price better than the public quote. In a dark pool, this typically means executing at the midpoint of the National Best Bid and Offer (NBBO).

The formula is straightforward:

PI per Share = |Execution Price – NBBO Midpoint|

Total PI = PI per Share Executed Quantity

A positive value indicates a direct, measurable cost saving for the investor. Consistent PI is a hallmark of a high-quality dark pool.

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Reversion (Adverse Selection)

Reversion is the most critical metric for assessing the risk of a dark pool. It measures the price movement immediately following an execution. A price that continues to move in the trade’s direction (e.g. rises after a buy) is a favorable outcome.

A price that “reverts” (e.g. falls after a buy) suggests the counterparty was “informed,” selling just before the price dropped. This is adverse selection, and it is a direct measure of the cost of information leakage.

The formula, calculated at a specific time horizon (e.g. T+5 minutes), is:

Reversion (bps) for a Buy = ((Midpoint at T+5min – Execution Price) / Execution Price) 10,000

Reversion (bps) for a Sell = ((Execution Price – Midpoint at T+5min) / Execution Price) 10,000

A negative reversion value is a cost to the initiator and a strong indicator of a “toxic” liquidity environment.

In dark pool analysis, reversion is the quantitative measure of regret; it is the cost of trading with someone who knew more than you did.

The following table provides a hypothetical analysis of several executions within a single dark pool.

Trade ID Side Exec Price NBBO Midpoint PI per Share T+5min Midpoint Reversion (bps)
DP-001 Buy $100.005 $100.005 $0.000 $100.035 +3.00
DP-002 Buy $100.015 $100.015 $0.000 $100.000 -1.50
DP-003 Sell $100.025 $100.025 $0.000 $100.040 -1.50
DP-004 Buy $100.035 $100.035 $0.000 $100.010 -2.50

In this example, the consistent negative reversion signals that this dark pool may harbor a significant amount of informed flow, making it a high-risk venue for large, passive orders despite the midpoint execution.

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Quantitative Analysis for Systematic Internalisers the Evaluation of a Partner

SI analysis is not about uncovering anonymity; it is about grading a known counterparty. The metrics are similar in name but different in application and interpretation.

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Quote-to-Trade Performance

Instead of simple PI versus the NBBO, the more nuanced analysis for an SI compares the final execution price to the price the SI actually quoted. This measures the SI’s pricing integrity.

Performance vs. Quote (bps) = ((Execution Price – Quoted Price) / Quoted Price) 10,000

Any deviation from zero would be a major red flag, indicating potential issues with the SI’s technology or pricing engine. The primary benchmark, however, remains the public market.

Performance vs. EBBO (bps) for a Buy = ((EBBO Midpoint – Execution Price) / Execution Price) 10,000

A positive value represents outperformance of the public market, quantifying the price quality provided by the SI.

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Reversion as a Measure of Pricing Stability

Reversion is also calculated for SI trades, but its interpretation is fundamentally different. It is less about being adversely selected by an anonymous predator and more about the stability and quality of the SI’s own pricing model. If an SI’s prices consistently revert, it may suggest their pricing model is naive or slow to react to market conditions, or that they are aggressively managing their own inventory risk immediately after trading. While not “toxic” in the same way as a dark pool, it can still represent a hidden cost.

The following table provides a hypothetical analysis for a single SI counterparty.

Trade ID Side Exec Price EBBO Midpoint Perf. vs EBBO (bps) T+5min Midpoint Reversion (bps)
SI-A-001 Buy $100.010 $100.015 +0.50 $100.012 +0.20
SI-A-002 Sell $100.030 $100.025 +0.50 $100.028 +0.20
SI-A-003 Buy $100.050 $100.055 +0.50 $100.051 +0.10
SI-A-004 Sell $100.070 $100.065 +0.50 $100.069 +0.10

The results for SI-A show consistent price improvement over the public market and minimal, stable reversion. This is the profile of a high-quality, reliable liquidity partner. The analysis provides quantitative evidence to continue routing flow to this SI. The ultimate output of this dual-track analysis is a sophisticated, evidence-based routing and counterparty policy, where flow is directed to the venues and partners that have demonstrably provided the highest quality of execution, as defined by the specific context of their market structure.

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References

  • T. Rowe Price. (2019). 2019 MiFID II EXECUTION QUALITY REPORT.
  • Polidore, B. Li, F. & Chen, Z. (n.d.). Put A Lid On It – Controlled measurement of information leakage in dark pools. The TRADE.
  • Ganchev, T. (2024). Mean Reversion Trading Techniques ▴ A Complete Guide 2024. TradeFundrr.
  • Foley, S. & Putniņš, T. J. (2016). Should we be afraid of the dark? Journal of Financial Economics, 122(3), 456-481.
  • ESMA. (2014). Systematic internaliser (SI) in MiFID II – a counterparty, not a trading venue. Emissions-EUETS.com.
  • O’Hara, M. (2015). High-frequency trading and its impact on markets. Columbia Business School.
  • Harris, L. (2003). Trading and Exchanges ▴ Market Microstructure for Practitioners. Oxford University Press.
  • Madhavan, A. (2000). Market microstructure ▴ A survey. Journal of Financial Markets, 3(3), 205-258.
  • Comerton-Forde, C. & Putniņš, T. J. (2015). Dark trading and price discovery. Journal of Financial Economics, 118(1), 70-92.
  • Ye, M. (2011). The information content of dark trades. Johnson School Research Paper Series.
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Reflection

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Calibrating the Analytical Lens

The quantitative frameworks detailed herein provide the necessary tools for dissecting execution quality. Yet, the numbers themselves are only the beginning. The true strategic value emerges when an institution moves beyond rote calculation and begins to build a dynamic, learning model of its execution ecosystem.

The reversion profile of a dark pool is not a static attribute; it changes as participants enter and exit the pool, and as algorithms adapt. The reliability of an SI is not guaranteed; it is a function of their risk appetite, their technology, and their business focus, all of which can evolve.

Therefore, the ultimate goal of this divergent analytical process is to create a feedback loop. The insights from post-trade analysis should not terminate in a historical report. They must be fed directly back into the pre-trade decision-making process and the real-time routing logic. How does a sudden spike in reversion in a particular dark pool alter the smart order router’s behavior for the next parent order?

How does a decline in an SI’s quote competitiveness trigger a review of that counterparty relationship? The analysis transforms from a passive, historical review into an active, predictive component of the firm’s execution intelligence system. The data, when properly contextualized, becomes the foundation for a more resilient and adaptive trading architecture, one capable of navigating the complex and fragmented liquidity landscape with precision.

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Glossary

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Systematic Internaliser

Meaning ▴ A Systematic Internaliser (SI) is a financial institution executing client orders against its own capital on an organized, frequent, systematic basis off-exchange.
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Post-Trade Analysis

Meaning ▴ Post-Trade Analysis constitutes the systematic review and evaluation of trading activity following order execution, designed to assess performance, identify deviations, and optimize future strategies.
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Transaction Cost Analysis

Meaning ▴ Transaction Cost Analysis (TCA) is the quantitative methodology for assessing the explicit and implicit costs incurred during the execution of financial trades.
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Execution Quality

Meaning ▴ Execution Quality quantifies the efficacy of an order's fill, assessing how closely the achieved trade price aligns with the prevailing market price at submission, alongside consideration for speed, cost, and market impact.
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Dark Pool

Meaning ▴ A Dark Pool is an alternative trading system (ATS) or private exchange that facilitates the execution of large block orders without displaying pre-trade bid and offer quotations to the wider market.
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Dark Pools

Meaning ▴ Dark Pools are alternative trading systems (ATS) that facilitate institutional order execution away from public exchanges, characterized by pre-trade anonymity and non-display of liquidity.
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Public Market

The primary data challenges in applying public market proxies are data scarcity, non-standardization, and valuation lags.
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Information Leakage

Meaning ▴ Information leakage denotes the unintended or unauthorized disclosure of sensitive trading data, often concerning an institution's pending orders, strategic positions, or execution intentions, to external market participants.
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Execution Price

Shift from accepting prices to commanding them; an RFQ guide for executing large and complex trades with institutional precision.
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Reversion

Meaning ▴ In finance, mean reversion describes an asset's price or market indicator tending towards its historical average.
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Price Improvement

Meaning ▴ Price improvement denotes the execution of a trade at a more advantageous price than the prevailing National Best Bid and Offer (NBBO) at the moment of order submission.
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Implementation Shortfall

Meaning ▴ Implementation Shortfall quantifies the total cost incurred from the moment a trading decision is made to the final execution of the order.
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Dark Pool Analysis

Meaning ▴ Dark Pool Analysis is the systematic application of quantitative and qualitative methodologies to evaluate, predict, and optimize execution performance within non-displayed liquidity venues, specifically tailored for institutional digital asset derivatives to minimize market impact and enhance price discovery for large orders.
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Adverse Selection

Meaning ▴ Adverse selection describes a market condition characterized by information asymmetry, where one participant possesses superior or private knowledge compared to others, leading to transactional outcomes that disproportionately favor the informed party.
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Quote Competitiveness

Meaning ▴ Quote Competitiveness quantifies an institutional participant's capacity to consistently offer superior bid and ask prices relative to the prevailing market.